EconomySample
Fed cuts rates at the December meeting?
68%▲ 2724h
Yes 68¢No 32¢Vol $4.1M
Prediction markets, explained
The odds moved.
The odds moved.
Here’s why.
PredictionStars tracks the biggest swings across prediction markets and explains the news behind them in a few minutes of reading. No hype, no trading tips. Just what the crowd with money on the line expects, and what changed its mind.
Launch preview. We’re in our launch period. Market prices on this page are sample data showing how coverage will look, not live quotes.
Biggest movers · 24h
Sample data- 1Fed cuts rates at the December meeting?Economy68%▲ 27
- 2Federal government shutdown before Dec 31?Politics31%▲ 12
- 3Bitcoin above $150K on Dec 31?Crypto22%▼ 9
- 4CPI year-over-year below 3% next print?Economy47%▲ 8
- 5S&P 500 closes the year above 7,000?Markets54%▼ 6
- 6New frontier AI model released this quarter?Tech73%▲ 5
What counts as a mover?
We rank markets above our volume floor by how far the Yes price moved in the last 24 hours. Big moves in thin markets don’t make the board.
Read the methodologyLatest
Markets we’re watching
Sample dataPoliticsSample
Federal government shutdown before Dec 31?
31%▲ 1224h
Yes 31¢No 69¢Vol $2.6M
CryptoSample
Bitcoin above $150K on Dec 31?
22%▼ 924h
Yes 22¢No 78¢Vol $3.3M
MarketsSample
S&P 500 closes the year above 7,000?
54%▼ 624h
Yes 54¢No 46¢Vol $1.9M
SportsSample
Chiefs win the next Super Bowl?
14%▲ 324h
Yes 14¢No 86¢Vol $5.2M
EconomySample
US recession declared in 2026?
18%▼ 224h
Yes 18¢No 82¢Vol $0.9M
Coverage
Accountability
The scorecard
Forecasts are only useful if someone checks them. Once live coverage starts, we’ll log every market we write about and compare its price with how it actually resolved, right here, wins and misses alike.
